John Strand, Strand Consult. (Bilde: Bjørn Veseth)

Åtte spådommer for 2012

Antall ansatte hos mobiloperatørene vil falle med mellom 5 og 20 prosent i 2012, spår teleanalytiker John Strand.

Once again Strand Consult would like to revive our year-end tradition of taking a look at the events that have happened during the past year and then predict what we believe will happen in the coming year.

Strand Consult’s core business is helping mobile operators around the world understand how the future market is developing. We do not depend on income from technology companies who are often mostly interested in hyping new products and business areas. Our approach is very straightforward and pragmatic - all the companies that work with us and people who read our reports and research notes recognise this as our trademark.

It is interesting to look back at 2011 and compare the events of the year to our predictions that we wrote at the end of 2010. You can read our predictions here: 2011 Predictions. If you take the time to skim through them you will see that once again in 2010 - as in the previous 11 years - we managed to describe rather precisely what would be happening in the Telco industry during 2011.

Once again we have chosen to focus on eight main areas that we believe will attract an enormous amount of attention during 2012. Below we will describe in more detail what we believe will happen during the next 12 months.

Is it possible to ensure cooperation between private sector companies that are investing in vital communicationinfrastructure that will benefit both the future society and the public sector? How could one go about this?

Very few politicians understand that mobile operators and other Telco industry companies have taken on a roll, whereby they are using their own money to build and expand technological communication infrastructure that actually should be a task for society! Usually society spends taxpayers’ money building bridges and roads and tunnels and other types of physical infrastructure, but spends nothing on communication infrastructure.

Yet everyone knows that society is extremely dependent on telecom infrastructure. But how many politicians actually understand the roles and enormous risks that the Telco industry has been taking since the Telco markets were liberalised around the world? We believe that the political understanding of the Telco industry is still very limited in many countries

In many countries local councils and other public authorities play a central role when mobile operators build or expand their mobile networks. But do these local and national authorities believe they should help the Telco industry in quickly and cost effectively building vital technological infrastructure that will benefit society, or do they view the Telco industry as their opponents and as a source of revenue?

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